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Av Alexander Karlsson - 10 februari 2011 13:37

I år väntas den svenska bruttonationalprodukten, bnp, öka med 4,7 procent, jämfört med 5,7 procent under fjolåret.

Men nästa år väntas tillväxten dämpas till 2,6 procent, bland annat till följd av kronans förstärkning.

Kronan väntas stärkas ytterligare mot euron, som beräknas kosta 8,50 kronor i slutet av 2011 och 8,40 kronor i december 2012, enligt SEB.

– Kronförstärkningen kommer förstås att påverka exportföretagen negativt, men vi bedömer ändå utvecklingen som hanterbar för företagen, sade Mikael Johansson från SEB Ekonomisk Analys när konjunkturprognosen Nordic Outlook presenterades i Malmö på tisdagen.

Riksbankens viktigaste styrränta reporäntan, som bland annat påverkar bolåneräntorna, spås ligga på 2,75 procent i december 2011, och 3,75 procent ett år senare.

För närvarande ligger reporäntan på 1,25 procent.

Arbetslösheten väntas sjunka från 8,4 procent i år till 7,3 procent 2011 och 6,6 procent 2012.

Den svenska statsskulden spås falla till 21 procent av bnp 2014 – den lägsta nivån på fyrtio år.

– Paradoxalt nog kan statsskulden vara på väg mot för låga nivåer. En för låg statsskuld kan tolkas som en signal att Sveriges statsobligationer inte längre är attraktiv placering, sade Mikael Johansson.

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Av Alexander Karlsson - 10 februari 2011 13:36

Handelsbanken redovisar en rörelsevinst på 3 833 miljoner kronor för fjärde kvartalet i fjol. Det kan jämföras med vinsten på 3 221 miljoner kronor motsvarande period 2009.

Analytiker hade, enligt Reuters, i genomsnitt räknat med en rörelsevinst på 3 729 miljoner kronor.

Räntenettot steg till 5 612 miljoner kronor, från 5 359 miljoner kronor. Provisionsnettot ökade till 2 127 miljoner kronor, från 1 995 miljoner kronor.

Totalt uppgick intäkterna till 8 128 miljoner kronor, jämfört med 7 967 miljoner kronor motsvarande period året före.

Kostnaderna sjönk till 3 997 miljoner kronor, från 4 058 miljoner kronor. Kreditförlusterna minskade till 293 miljoner kronor, från 691 miljoner kronor.

Styrelsen föreslår en utdelning på 9:00 kronor per aktie, jämfört med 8:00 kronor i fjol.

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Av Alexander Karlsson - 10 februari 2011 13:36

Börsbolagens vinster har stigit med 105 procent jämfört med fjärde kvartalet 2009 och med åtta procent jämfört med föregående kvartal.

Det visar analytikern Peter Malmqvists summering, när bolag som står för drygt 70 procent av vinstsumman på Stockholmsbörsen lämnat delårsrapport för fjolårets sista kvartal.

"För första gången sedan vändningen vid halvårsskiftet 2009 har dock bolagen inte klarat av analytikernas prognoser", skriver Malmqvist.

Trots att resultaten varit sämre än förväntat är vinsttrenden fortsatt kraftfull, anser han.

"Kvartalsvinsten är därtill så här långt den starkaste någonsin i de bolag som lämnat rapport. Det är också sjätte kvartalet i rad som börsbolagen redovisar vinstförbättringar", skriver Malmqvist.

De bolag som haft den största positiva effekten på det samlade resultatet är AB Volvo, Swedbank och Ericsson. Tillsammans svarar de för halva vinstuppgången. Nokia, H & M och Holmen drog ner resultatet mest.

Försäljningen för bolagen steg totalt med åtta procent jämfört med fjärde kvartalet 2009, även om effekten av den starka kronan inverkade negativt.

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Av Alexander Karlsson - 10 februari 2011 13:35

Byggföretaget NCC redovisar en vinst före skatt på 801 miljoner kronor för fjärde kvartalet 2010. Det kan jämföras med vinsten på 664 miljoner kronor motsvarande period året före.

Analytiker hade i genomsnitt räknat med en vinst på 461 miljoner kronor, enligt Reuters sammanställning.

Omsättningen uppgick till 15 338 miljoner kronor, jämfört med 15 944 miljoner kronor ett år tidigare. Orderingången var 14 154 miljoner kronor (14 352).

Styrelsen föreslår en utdelning till aktieägarna på 10:00 kronor per aktie, jämfört med 6:00 kronor per aktie i fjol.

För 2011 räknar NCC med "en viss ökning" av efterfrågan på den nordiska byggmarknaden.

"NCC:s finansiella ställning ger förutsättningar för tillväxt. Tillväxten ska ske på befintliga marknader och inte på bekostnad av lönsamheten", skriver vd Olle Ehrlén i bokslutsrapporten.

Strax efter det att bokslutet publicerats hade NCC:s aktie gått upp med 5,6 procent på Stockholmsbörsen.

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Av Alexander Karlsson - 10 februari 2011 13:34

Kinas senaste räntehöjning var ett "förvånande" sätt att tackla inflationen, sade Bern Bernanke, USA:s centralbankschef, på onsdagen och uppmanade i stället Peking att höja värdet på yuanen. Uttalandet var ovanligt kritiskt för att komma från Bernanke och skedde vid en utskottsutfrågning i representanthuset, dagen efter det att Kina höjde räntorna med 0,25 procent. Höjningen var den tredje raka på fyra månader.

USA:s återhämtning är uppmuntrande, men arbetslösheten är för hög och det skapas för lite nya jobb, fastslog Bernanke vidare.

Han konstaterar att nedgången i arbetslöshet, från 9,8 procent i november till 9,0 procent i januari, är den snabbaste sedan 1950-talet, men att det hittills bara skapats en miljon nya USA-jobb efter recessionen, då åtta miljoner jobb i USA gick upp i rök.

Bernanke varnade också för att skarpa budgetnedskärningar på kort sikt kan hindra den ekonomiska återhämtningen.

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